Prateek Jain

Strategy Playbook

Listing Pump

Profitable

Detects listing-like volume explosions where trading volume spikes to 10x its recent average alongside a 15%+ price surge. Rides the initial pump momentum.

Total P&L
+$1.9K
from $10K starting
Win Rate
45.1%
23W / 28L
Total Trades
51
Jan 2020 — Mar 2025
Max Drawdown
10%
avg hold 9.3h
Equity Curve — 5 Year Backtest
Equity curve$10.2K$11.4K$12.6K$13.8K$15.0K$16.2K2020-012020-112021-092022-072023-052024-032025-012025-03
Monthly P&L
Monthly P&L20-01 20-08 21-04 21-11 22-07 23-02 23-10 24-05 25-01 +$534-$534
Deep Dive
The Listing Pump strategy targets rare, high-conviction events — the explosive volume and price spikes that occur when a token first becomes available on a major exchange, or when sudden catalysts drive massive attention to an asset. The trigger requires two simultaneous conditions: trading volume must spike to at least 10x its recent rolling average, AND price must surge 15% or more. This dual-confirmation filter ensures the strategy only trades genuine explosive events, not normal volatility. Once triggered, the strategy enters a long position riding the momentum. The wide 15% stop loss accommodates the extreme volatility typical of listing events, while the 20% take profit captures a substantial portion of the initial pump before the inevitable cooldown. In backtesting, this strategy found only 51 qualifying events across 5 years of data — confirming its design as a rare-event strategy. Despite a sub-50% win rate, the profitable trades significantly outweighed the losses due to the asymmetric risk/reward profile. The low trade count means statistical significance is limited, but the edge appears real.
Parameters
Volume spike:10x average
Price spike:15%+
Stop loss:15%
Take profit:20%
Loss Analysis — Failure Modes
Adverse Move
10
Missed Take Profit
10
Entered Pump Top
5
Profit Reversal
2
Top Symbols by Trade Count
DENT
1
OGN
1
CHZ
1
FUN
1
RLC
1
LSK
1
ICX
1
ONG
1
ANKR
1
COS
1

Backtested on hourly OHLCV data across 65+ symbols from Jan 2020 to Mar 2025 — $10,000 initial balance — 0.1% commission — 0.05% slippage

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